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Dokkodo

Established Member
Joined
8 Jan 2017
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Location
Bristol
Im not the greatest contributor to the forum but I spend plenty of time enjoying reading it.

However, this is something i feel compelled to contribute.

The Extinction Rebellion movement is going to be familiar to us all soon I feel. It is perhaps, genuinely, the most important and pressing cause of this historic moment. Dont know how many of this particular corner of the internet are up for some radical direct action (I know I am) but it cant hurt to share.

https://rebellion.earth/

https://www.facebook.com/events/1758991460816073/
 
sorry but it's complete BS the entire thing, it's doom mongering at its worst, the entire thing is based
on future predictions, which can't be proven until it actually happens.
 
Speaking purely for myself, I'd never heard of this "movement" until your post Dokkodo. Having followed the first link (I don't "do" Facebook) I can't say I was at all impressed - except perhaps in the highly negative sense.

While I think that few people now doubt that "something" is happening to our climate (apparently it's happened before, without our "help"), and while there can be little doubt that "we" (the human race) certainly aren't helping it now, but speeding it up (!!!), I agree 100% with the previous poster - what a load of scaremongering BS!

And if I (even if we all) joined this "movement", what then????? Nothing I saw on that introductory page showed me anything which gives any hope at all for the future - as above, simply doom-laden scare tactics - plus, dare I say it, a remarkably dodgy-looking request for money. (hammer)

NAH, not for me thanks.
 
Fair opinions all round.

Im not sure its scare mongering, sure, it might seem pretty doom laden, but if you do your research, the situation is pretty terrifying. All the more reason to act. Also, from the "enthusiasm" of your replies, it seems to be elliciting some sort of emotional response, which makes me wonder. Im sure many of you arent and havent ever been the activism types so that sort of rhetoric might be a turn off but its what gets people out and moving, which is what is needed. Sure, you can donate to the cause through the site, but the idea its a way to con money out of people is just laughable.

I dont expect this "movement" as you so doubtingly frame it to save the world on its own or become a household staple, I just meant you might start seeing it on the news, and some of you might be a bit green and fancy some peaceful protest.

So you guys give absolutely no creedence to the recent IPCC or UN reports? Seems to me that the global community of experts are now saying that catastrophic climate change is almost inevitable, and much sooner than anyone previously predicted as the feedback loops stack up. 2 degrees sees all the worlds coastal cities flood, the consequences alone of which are pretty unthinkable, forgetting the knock on effects which echo and amplify. Species are going extinct at an unbelievable rate. British bird and insect life is disappearing in front of our eyes, if you want to be patriotic about it. People my age (<30) and younger, anyone with children, are facing some pretty unthinkable futures.

"Even if we all joined, what then", as you could see on the website, the XR movement is calling for a democratic emergency assembly to be put together to answer exactly this question - you'd hope, some serious changes at the political, infrastructural and social level, and maybe the chance that 3, 4 or more degrees of warming is avoided and all life on earth utterly and irreversibly changed. People all the way up to the UN are talking about WWII levels of mobilisation, that is the only way to mitigate the worst effects.

I often hear people framing it like this, that 'something' 'might' be happening. The idea that its going to happen to other people, in the future, doesnt really hold water any more. Call me alarmist but I really think its time alarm bells started ringing, and if you dont, then do some more reading. Having your head in the sand condemns yourself and the rest of us.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/10/08/earths-temperature-rise-15c-early-2030-amid-dire-warnings-un/

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/nov/04/the-guardian-view-on-environmental-activism-new-energy-is-welcome

https://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change-global-warming-ipcc-report-un-fossil-fuels-greenhouse-gas-co2-a8574731.html
 
Complete and utter BS, this was Stroud a few weeks back, when they decided to block the main road past the town centre one Saturday.

https://www.stroudnewsandjournal.co.uk/news/16996666.as-it-happened-eco-activists-block-road-in-stroud/

Did nothing but disrupt and annoy people going about their daily lives to no purpose.

Stroud has sadly bacome a centre for protests against any and everything, a number of these attending are well known for jumping on the bandwaggon of any protest/ action going that causes anarchy.
 
As you say, "opinions, fair enough".

But the idea that any "people's movement" is going to be able to move all the entrenched counter-interests, politics, national interests and plain greed that "the world in general" have shown in this respect so far is not only laughable but IMO is even more ridiculous than the people who say that there's nothing happening to our climate.

And to what use, exactly, would any donations that this site attracts be put? Yup, I'm a devout sceptic in that respect.

But by all means go for it if you like, but to quote a well-known Hollywood director (Meyer?), "include me out".

Me? I'll just stick to trying to do my little bit by recycling, careful waste disposal, etc, etc, thanks.

P.S. I don't know anything about Stroud specifically, but I agree with the previous poster.
 
Turnr77":3n3llu2n said:
Complete and utter BS, this was Stroud a few weeks back, when they decided to block the main road past the town centre one Saturday.

https://www.stroudnewsandjournal.co.uk/news/16996666.as-it-happened-eco-activists-block-road-in-stroud/

Did nothing but disrupt and annoy people going about their daily lives to no purpose.

Stroud has sadly bacome a centre for protests against any and everything, a number of these attending are well known for jumping on the bandwaggon of any protest/ action going that causes anarchy.

Wow.

Is Stroud really weirder than Glastonbury now? The world really is changing beyond all recognition.

E. (who partly grew up in that part of Zummerzet)
 
Anthropomorphic (caused by humans) climate change is now at a scientific level equivalent to Einstein’s theory of relativity or Darwin’s theory of evolution. To deny it is like saying you believe the world is flat. The same scientific method was used to take technology development to a level that enabled the computer you’re using to access this forum, or the new drugs and techniques that mean most of us woodworkers post 50 are alive to enjoy our hobby. We stand on the shoulders of giants.

The precise impact of this climate change is much harder to predict. One thing you can say is the world will be fine, it’s survived much worse, however conditions that are quite so hospitable for us humans (and other current species) are likely to change.

Will this lead to mass social disruption and the breakdown of society. Personally I think it unlikely, society is what us humans do, it’s how we evolved.

Do I think capitalism (which is basically what our current society is based on) is set up to efficiently or expeditiously tackle problems of this nature? No it’s not, as the level of encouragement to make change happen quickly (through tax breaks, or taxes) would be damaging to the economy which average joe blogs would get upset about and vote for someone else. There’s no conspiracy or controlling elite, it’s the masses of voters that you need to sway.

Obviously this is just my humble opinion.

Fitz.
 
I find it very hard to give credence to "movements" and "protesters" when it comes to climate change.
No, I am NOT denying its happening by the way.

But its brought about by using fossil fuels. So how come all these really passionate people go to protests by air plane and car? The extra thousand vehicles needed to stage a protest is in itself a contribution factor.Add to that the number of cars and trucks idling in the traffic jams caused by said do gooders and the carbon footprint climbs exponentially.
A dozen years ago I knew a woman who was a fervent climate change protester, she drove to all the rallies in her top of the line range rover.
If every single "passionate" protester stayed at home, turned off their lights, heating, and 72 inch TV, for EVER, only THEN I might believe in their cause.
In the meantime, its already too late to save the planet, so you better book your cruises now.
Interesting side fact concerning cruises. very large cruise liners burn deisel at the rate of 1 gallon per SIX FEET travelled.
 
Well indeed.

Im going address a few things individually, but before I do, on a more general note id like to say how disappointing it is that this thread has so quickly become about wheeling out closed opinions and very little to do with debating the interesting and important facts of environmental change, which happens to be the under-pining of every single one of our lives. Wonder if anyone read those articles. If not, I shall just put a few quotes for you to summarise and keep in mind.

The Telegraph:

Avoiding global climate chaos will require a major transformation of society and the world economy that is "unprecedented in scale," the UN said on Monday in a landmark report that warns time is running out to avert disaster.

Earth's surface has warmed one degree Celsius - enough to lift oceans and unleash a crescendo of deadly storms, floods and droughts - and is on track towards an unliveable 3C or 4C rise.

At current levels of greenhouse gas emissions, we could pass the 1.5C marker as early as 2030, and no later than mid-century, the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC) reported with "high confidence".

"The report shows that we only have the slimmest of opportunities remaining to avoid unthinkable damage to the climate system that supports life as we know it," said Amjad Abdulla, the IPCC board member and chief negotiator for the alliance of small island states.

"Historians will look back at these findings as one of the defining moments in the course of human affairs."

The Independent:

Once we hit 2C warming, the world will be a profoundly different place. There will be almost no coral reefs remaining, the Arctic will be completely devoid of ice during summer at least once a decade, and huge numbers of animals and plants will become extinct as their habitat becomes smaller and smaller.

The impact for humans will be enormous, particularly in areas already vulnerable such as the low-lying coastal regions of Bangladesh and Vietnam, and island territories like Kiribati and the Maldives. Sea level rise will drive millions from their homes, and crop yields will fall dramatically in sub-Saharan Africa, Southeast Asia, and Central and South America.

Is there any reason to be hopeful?
Yes, but it’s going to take serious effort at every level of society. The researchers behind the report used words like “unprecedented” to describe the kind of changes that will need to take place if we are going to stay below the 1.5C target.

... there is no doubt that this will be a massive and noticeable change in the next couple of decades if the IPCC warnings arent taken seriously



I suppose I risk ostracising myself with some of this but I think its important, and if I can change a few minds then that would be enough. I am genuinely writing this from place of empathy, and having these discussions with the people around me, and so should you all. If you think this is all overblown, do your own reading, news with expert sources. It is in fact the only appropriate response.

Now, to try and not get personal, in reverse order -

sunnybob: pointing the finger at other generalistic groups, or focusing on individual hypocrits you knew 'a dozen years ago' doesnt mean you shouldn't engage on something that matters deeply to you and your family and everyone you care about, whether you are aware of it or not, that is just insane. also, its not too late. its too late if you think how you are thinking, which makes me want to scream a big F U from those of us who do care (but I wont). this attitude is awful.

Fitz and others: sure, the precise impacts of climate change are hard to predict, but the big sweeping ones are now very much agreed upon and to the great concern of the scientific community. Again, read around on the subject. Things by the people who have dedicated their lives to this stuff, scientists. The facts are in: at best we are headed for civilisation-changing disasters if we do nothing, at worst absolutely catastrophic environmental change that takes out the vast majority of species we have evolved alongside. Sure, life would eventually bounce back, but jesus, what a waste if we can avoid it. And its worth avoiding, sea levels rising, desperate mass migrations, global famine, civilisational collapse, fear and disease and death! And not in 100 years. To people who are alive today. I can hear the scoffing, but Im not overstating it. This is what the UN and the IPCC are predicting, the scientists, the experts.

on a side note - joe blogs, the economy, jobs, money, the neoliberal capitalist system, all that is going to go out of the window. to think that we shouldnt make the drastic neccesary changes because it will 'hurt the economy' is like saying you shouldnt extinguish a house fire because you like the water as it is.

RE the demonstrations in stroud, well, all i can say is they are clearly working. They are designed to disrupt and draw attention. Direct action, peaceful protest, is about disruption to bring attention to an important cause. Civil rights activists, the suffragettes, they all used these methods, and im sure plenty of people complained they were a nuisance at the time, but i wonder how many of you would say they shouldnt have been undertaken now in hindsight. Sure, its not convenient, but we will see whats convenient when all the UKs coastal cities are flooded in ___ years and there are millions of domestic refugees and no food. Keep that in mind!

AES, noone is making you donate anything, if you dont want to, dont. easy. as for the idea that 'peoples movements' dont get anything done. I take it the women in your life enjoy their right to vote, well, that vote was hard won by a peoples movement. Sure, grand social change isnt easy, and it gets more and more difficult as it gets scaled up, sure. But if you believe it to be impossible, it is, and by believing it to be possible and engaging, you make it so. History shows this. Oh and you might as well pack in the recycling for all the good it does, things are well past that point, get to a peaceful protest!

I know keyboard warriors arent a good thing and I probably clasiffy as one by this point, first time for everything, but im going to finish by saying, to those who have replied and read, that I hope you approach the subject of climate change and whats coming with an open mind. Dont assume you know things and that it isnt all that bad. Read around on the subject, a variety of sources, read the scary stuff as well as the reassuring. I knew when I posted this that the demographic of this forum must be 95% older white male and is inherently not one that is engaged. Why would you, you are well off, comfortable, like things as they are, and all this is a threat to that. But we young people care deeply, just you wait and see. We are poised to live through the most painful age the planet has ever seen, so many conscious minds and so much suffering. People who don't care, either arent informed or are sociopaths, and I dont believe you are all sociopaths. And before you say "well you dont know whats coming either", i will say it again, read and digest what the experts are saying. Its not good news! Most people choose not to think about it or choose to believe what sounds least disruptive to their comfortable lives, but that cant go on.

Thanks for listening, I wont be posting again.
 
Dokkodo.

My post missed the mark. I’m with you, this is going to be painful and have a huge impact. We are in no way doing enough nor fast enough. I applaud your passion. What I’ve not seen is a way to motivate the masses as that’s what’s required. Protests and rebellion just tend to turn the masses away from the causes in hand. I think the most positive and impactful environmental movement I’ve seen is the recent move on plastics and the ‘blue planet’. What’s required is to find a climate change equivalent.

F.
 
Dokkodo":1a47bpuc said:
So you guys give absolutely no creedence to the recent IPCC or UN reports?
No, we don't.

However, most of this is happening and will continue to happen as a result of damage already done.
The reason the damage was done and will continue to be done is that so many of these problems originate from one very incovenient truth - The world is overpopulated.

Already we are at what those experts all say is unsustainable levels, and we're only forecast to get bigger. They reckon we'll easily see a world population of 10 billion in our lifetimes... Mitigating the disasters is like putting a little sticky plaster on a sucking chest wound. It won't help and things will only get worse.

So when you call for "some radical direct action", the inconvenient truth is that we need far fewer people stuffing the planet up. Still interested?
 
Perhaps it's just me, but I find the content of the links in the opening post disappointingly predictable (maybe I need to be a Facebook user to see more content?). There just seems to be an incitement to rebellion without suggesting anything of substance to actually tackle the problem. Rebel without a cause springs to mind.

Furthermore, I find it cruelly ironic that we're using electricity in order to debate the causes of climate change, via the myriad of toxic chemicals that constitutes a computer or mobile device....... Surely that irony isn't lost on the OP?
 
I just wrote such a long and thorough response that my browser timed out and I lost it. Fortunately for you all... So heres my half hearted second attempt.

Tasky":mf78e2ly said:
Dokkodo":mf78e2ly said:
So you guys give absolutely no creedence to the recent IPCC or UN reports?
No, we don't.

Why is that? I am genuinely interested. If you know something concrete that goes against 30+ years of scientific concensus, reached by thousands of dedicated scientists with access to all the best technologies, and compiled by institutions who if anything have an interest to underplay whats happening (it has proven repeatedly that their reports are way overly optimistic, part of the reason things are now so dangerously far along) then I am desperate to know, because I would love to see something hopeful.

I agree the world is overpopulated, but again, a very weak excuse indeed for not engaging with a catastrophic climate near-future. Population is a very complicated thing. Whether the world can support 1 or 10 billion depends on so many factors. One fat westerner uses many multiples the energy of someone from say, India. If we (in industrialised nations at least) were all vegetarian/vegan, far less wasteful, far more resource and energy efficient, if we underwent an(other) revolution in the way we practice agriculture and farming, and/or an energy revolution, who knows how many people could have a good quality of life. And anyway, birth rates are dropping and populations will indeed plummet once the poop hits the fan. Doesnt mean we should give up and soldier on to a hothouse earth that supports hardly any other life either.

DTR im afraid your criticism is pretty flawed also. Firstly, You dont have to dig around much on their website to see they have a very comprehensive plan in place, lay out how their organisation works honestly and in detail, their demands and goals, how people can get involved, what they believe... im not a representative for them and im not saying you have to agree with it all, Im aware they are just an activist group like many others, but it doesnt serve anyone to dismiss these things without taking a good look first. In case you genuinely missed it, the three lines, top right, is the menu button.

Secondly, to criticise the use of computers and chemicals, I mean, that is really feeble. Thats like saying "but they all drive around in cars and live in houses too so what they are saying must be worthless". Yes, its unfortunate, horrible even, that we live in a world where rare earth minerals are mined by congolese children so we can have computers and phones powered by coal fired power stations, sure. But this is the world we live in, and these technologies allow mass communication and are now probably the only way that we are going to be able to organise and inform ourselves quickly enough to avert total ecological collapse. So, we better get on with it and stop pointing fingers.

In fact, all these positions, "I knew an activist once who was an idiot", "their website looks like a scam/predictable/whatever", "im not giving them my money", "they all get on planes and drive cars like the rest of us", "peoples movements never work", "what about over population", "ill just keep doing my recycling" - these aren't arguments, they are dismissals, excuses not to engage. And actually, im not surprised, because it is utterly terrifying. This isnt a movement that wants to threaten you, it is literally trying to save all of us, families, children from an unimaginably horrifying, brutal, painful and tragic end. Really, that and worse is on the cards. If you want to believe its not, take a look at the evidence, make an informed decision, stop hiding behind single issues and ill conceived opinions, its too dangerous, and there literally couldnt be more at stake.

Try watching their campaign video here, without scoffing, without dismissing, with an open mind. Its in your interests. Technologically, economically, socially, its possible to avert this crisis. Whats missing is public, popular engagement and political will. This is why I am emploring you (all 5 of you, what am I doing this here for I wonder) to engage.

And now I hope this conversation ends here, this isnt the place and I am starting to feel deeply sorry for starting it!
 
Tasky":xnlr3x8z said:
The world is overpopulated.

Already we are at what those experts all say is unsustainable levels, and we're only forecast to get bigger. They reckon we'll easily see a world population of 10 billion in our lifetimes...

It is true. With 8 billion people, we have about 1 hectare per person of land, if you exclude desert and mountainous areas too high to cultivate. To provide space to live, work, for infrastructure, food, constructional materials, fibres for fabrics, and biofuels for when the oil and gas run out. It's surprising we aren't in bigger s**t already.
 
Dokkodo":3c6mcpr8 said:
me too. cant seem to let a good debate go by.


Debate - Let's start by hearing what actions YOU intend to take to reduce the effects of climate change. And I mean YOU not the Govt. Civil Disobedience excluded which does nothing except use resource and is basically an ineffective tool used by students before they grow up.

Brian
 
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