Putin is a loser

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Not intervening this time, no no no. Then panicking to scrape up some intervention money after all yesterday to try to stop the dive.

Where do interest rates go from here, a 21.5% base isn't a great place from which to hike.

Market sharks are circling.View attachment 193350
After further sanctions against Gazprombank and many other banks head of Russia Central Bank head Elvira Nabiulina warns that there are no further reserves to prop up the Ruble and the economic forecast is bleak.
Meanwhile queues are forming at local banks and “butter theft” is now a major issue due to dramatic price increases.
 
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After further sanctions against Gazprombank head of Russia Central Bank Elvira Nabiulina warns that there are no further reserves to prop up the Ruble and the economic forecast is bleak.
Meanwhile queues are forming at local banks and “butter theft” is now a major issue due to dramatic price increases.
I hope it doesn’t turn out to be a case of too little too late with the change of POTUS.
 
After further sanctions against Gazprombank and many other banks head of Russia Central Bank head Elvira Nabiulina warns that there are no further reserves to prop up the Ruble and the economic forecast is bleak.
Meanwhile queues are forming at local banks and “butter theft” is now a major issue due to dramatic price increases.
Yep, the ratchet has taken a long time to bite but the cracks have been showing for a while. The wiggle in the chart yesterday shows they spent reserves they didn't think were safe to dip into to try to catch the drop (perhaps now hoping to hold or at least pause at 90 cents by the looks of it). But even if they hold it there, that's still a near 15% drop in the external value of the Russian economy in less than a month. No way of knowing what their next move will be, but this is an economy undoubtedly under very severe strain.

An interesting side affect might be that Trump also sees blood in the water as a way to turn the tables on the Putin to whom he has been so subservient and obsequious (doesn't seem his favourite mode of being although he behaved the same way with his darling Rocketman*). Possible though, who knows.

(*not you Tony although I take your new avatar as a sign you crave the same fawning attention from your intellectual idol).
 
dishonest debating

you have stated I am wrong without stating where or why


I use the word propaganda to describe specific points which are indeed demonstrable examples of propaganda, if you think otherwise, please provide specifics and a counter argument

for example the claim that Ukrainian Nazis are the real cause of the troubles in Donbas
for example the claim that the Ukraine government being overthrown was an CIA coup
for example the claim that Putin was forced to invade Ukraine because of the West
for example the claim that it was the West that broke the Minsk agreement
Robin. It was not a debate it was more of a statement. No one could possibly accuse you of holding a balanced or unbiased view and you seem to have endless time to spend writing at great length about politics on here. I skim bits of it occasionally but I don't have time to waste on such debate on a WOODWORK forum.
 
EUs use of Russian gas has plummeted down to under 8%

And their purchase of Russian oil has plummeted also.

I’m sure India will buy from Russia…..at a much lower price.

Poor Putin, he must be feeling embarrassed having to plead with North Korea for weapons and soldiers.
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/russia-oil-europe-india-ukraine-war-b2477443.html

That was from last January - perhaps you have more up to date info re Russian oil being sold to Europe via India, with a healthy markup.
 
I suspect that China will see this as an opportunity to increase their influence by bailing them out.
Maybe. Maybe Xi doesn't care all that much. Reportedly some alarm there about Russia and Norks getting cosy, and a huge part of Russia was previously China (long memories and all that). Interesting to see how they react.
 
Who said anything about ,"worthy action"?

I'm saying that Putin is walking a tightrope cosying up to Iran given, as I'm sure you know, that (Shia) Iran and (Sunni) Saudi Arabia are sworn enemies, and the Saudis could pull the plug on oil prices any time they like.
The principle concern of Saudi Arabia is Saudi Arabia.

Why would they choose to reduce the price of oil by flooding the market. They have spent decades engineering alliances and structures to optimise the price of oil. They are not threatened in any way by the war in Ukraine - reducing the price of oil could even up the threat from Iran.

Russia still have huge amounts of foreign currency reserves - most informed commentators see little prospect to an end to hostilities in Ukraine because Russia can't afford it. Saudi could depress the price of oil on world markets - but I wouldn't bet on it!!
 
Russia still have huge amounts of foreign currency reserves
Not really, half of it is frozen (by sanctions-related measures) and they have dropped a ton of the rest trying to support their currency. They wouldn't be panicking into imposing capital controls if they felt their foreign currency reserves were healthy, they'd just carry on propping up the currency like they have for the last few years.
 
The fact is EU is weaning itself of Russian energy.
And how is that working out for Germany?

From the Financial Times: https://www.ft.com/content/5d98bcab-c8bc-49c8-83a0-88522194f64d

"German industry is unlikely to recover to pre-Ukraine war levels as elevated prices from imported liquefied natural gas have put Europe’s largest economy at a “disadvantage”, the chief of one of Germany’s leading energy companies has warned.“Gas prices in continental Europe, especially in Germany, are structurally higher now, because we, in the end, depend on LNG imports,” said Markus Krebber, chief executive of RWE. “The German industry has a disadvantage.”"


Without Germany’s vast export economy, how does the Euro survive? How does Europe survive without the Euro? Will a European Army (the latest power grab by the EU aparatchiks) get paid for? We live in interesting times.

More up to date story: https://www.politico.eu/article/ger...horsten-groger-ig-metall-labor-union-profits/

It looks like Germany will transition to a post-industrial, service economy, just like all the other main Western economies, built on house prices, debt and financial sleight of hand. Vorsprung durch Technk, as they say in Germany.
 
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You sound exactly like you would if in fact you had IRA notes to hand.
 
Putin is a loser in Syria today. Things are collapsing for him.
Putin's main reason for being in Syria is to prevent the construction of the proposed pipeline from the South Pars/North Dome gas field in the Persian Gulf to Southern Europe. South Pars/North Dome is by far the largest gas field in the world, holding almost as much recoverable reserves as all the world's other fields combined. Currently it is liquified and exported in tankers. A pipeline to Europe would reduce prices and seriously jeopardise Uncle Vlad's gas exports there.
 
Putin's main reason for being in Syria is to prevent the construction of the proposed pipeline from the South Pars/North Dome gas field in the Persian Gulf to Southern Europe. South Pars/North Dome is by far the largest gas field in the world, holding almost as much recoverable reserves as all the world's other fields combined. Currently it is liquified and exported in tankers. A pipeline to Europe would reduce prices and seriously jeopardise Uncle Vlad's gas exports there.
Well, that and Tartus. (North African front and all that).
 
Loser withdrew his 'fleet' from Tartus yesterday. Turkey won't let them sail through the Bosphorus so off they go to the far side.
 
Loser withdrew his 'fleet' from Tartus yesterday. Turkey won't let them sail through the Bosphorus so off they go to the far side.
I'm sure there's a very appropriate Gary Larson cartoon somewhere. :)
 
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