- 17 Sep 2011
- Reaction score
- Wst Sussex
Untrue.Remember we only locked down a few weeks after Italy and they were reluctant to do it and the virus was endemic by then anyway, we just did a safe political manouvre. So I think you probably feel clever being wise after the event but unless we locked down in Nov 2019 it would have made no difference. Most transmission is and was in the home
Viroligists have been saying since the beginning of the pandemic that ealier and hard is better.....resulting in overall less economic damage.
And studies concur:
"Figure 4bshows NPIs with the pattern ‘the earlier, the better’. For those measures (‘closure of educational institutions’, ‘small gatherings cancellation’, ‘airport restrictions’ and many more shown in Supplementary Information), early adoption is always more beneficial"
Analysing over 50,000â€‰government interventions in more than 200â€‰countries, Haug et al. find that combinations of softer measures, such as risk communication or those increasing healthcare capacity, can be almost as effective as disruptive lockdowns.